That seems like a high number. Different external surveys I've seen tend to show about 20% wanting to come in five days with a permanent desk, about the same (or a bit more) fully remote, and the rest 2 or 3 days. That's not just developers though.
Do you have data backing that? I definitely agree about super-commuters, but OTOH in NYC: with small apartments and convenient transit commutes, there are some extra reasons to want to go back to the office.
I'm willing to bet the super commuter effect is stronger, but I'd be surprised if it were strong enough to change it to 5%. E.g. almost all my coworkers live close to the office here in NYC.
I don't have data and it probably depends on various factors. Google in Chicago made a definite choice to locate itself 1.4 miles from the commuter train and a 1.2 miles from the main city train lines. But they have a gorgeous office with great cafeteria food and they pay more than anyone else with similar job security and work hours. They also have a shuttle bus, I think.
If they paid average Chicago tech wages and didn't have free healthy meals then they would have had a hard time recruiting to that office location choice even before COVID.
